Growth can require funding before it produces cash
A growing business may need to pay for inventory and labor before customers pay their invoices. Sales can therefore increase at the same time that cash becomes tighter. Understanding the sequence of payments is often more useful than simply labeling working capital good or bad.
For this analysis, operating working capital means receivables plus inventory minus trade payables. It is a deliberately simplified definition that excludes cash, debt and other current items. The broader balance-sheet definition of working capital is current assets minus current liabilities, as explained in SEC: Beginners Guide to Financial Statements. Keep the two definitions separate.
Draw the operating sequence: acquire inputs, hold inventory, deliver to customers, collect payment and settle suppliers. The ordering differs by business. A retailer paid immediately by customers can have very different cash needs from a manufacturer offering long credit terms, even if both report the same annual revenue.
Read the business model before judging the balance
Negative operating working capital can reflect customer prepayments or favorable supplier timing. It can also create vulnerability if those terms reverse. Positive working capital can be normal for a company that must carry inventory or wait for customers to pay.
Costco: 2025 Form 10-K is an official example of a retailer's annual reporting, including its operating and liquidity discussion. Use company-specific disclosures to understand the payment cycle rather than applying one generic benchmark across industries. The numerical examples here are entirely hypothetical.
Compare balances at equivalent seasonal points. A year-end inventory build before a selling season may be routine. An identical build after the season may deserve a different explanation. Also check whether an acquisition introduced new receivables and inventory, because that can change the balance without representing an organic deterioration in the original business's collection or stocking practices.
Worked example: funding a larger sales base
Fictional Aspen Distribution starts with $30 million of receivables, $40 million of inventory and $25 million of trade payables. Simplified operating working capital is $30 million plus $40 million minus $25 million, or $45 million.
After expansion, receivables are $42 million, inventory is $48 million and payables are $29 million. Operating working capital becomes $61 million. The $16 million increase represents additional funds tied up under the simplifying assumption that changes arise from cash-relevant operating activity rather than acquisitions, currency translation or other noncash movements.
If annual revenue increased from $180 million to $216 million, growth was 20%. Operating working capital rose about 35.6%, calculated as $16 million divided by $45 million. That mismatch is a reason to investigate, not proof of a problem. Customers may be paying more slowly, inventory may be prepared for future demand, or the sales mix may require more credit.
Use days to understand the timing
Now consider a separate steady-year illustration for Aspen using average balances. Suppose annual credit sales are $219 million and average receivables are $30 million. Receivable days are approximately $30 million divided by $219 million times 365, or 50 days.
If annual cost of sales is $146 million and average inventory is $40 million, inventory days are 100. Using cost of sales as a rough proxy for purchases, average payables of $24 million imply 60 payable days. The simplified cash conversion cycle is 50 plus 100 minus 60, or 90 days.
The purchases proxy is a limitation, especially when inventory changes materially. These average-balance inputs are a separate illustration, not a reconciliation of the expansion balances above. Keeping examples distinct matters: mixing ending balances from one scenario with average balances from another creates an apparently precise ratio that does not describe a coherent period.
Take this question further: Why can a profitable company have weak operating cash flow? Then read How can I tell whether revenue growth is high quality?.
A working-capital investigation checklist
- State exactly which accounts your working-capital definition includes.
- Compare equivalent seasonal dates and identify acquisitions or currency effects.
- Calculate receivable, inventory and payable movements separately.
- Use average balances for timing ratios where suitable data are available.
- Use credit sales and purchases when disclosed; label any proxies.
- Investigate collection terms, inventory composition and supplier arrangements.
- Estimate the cash effect of a timing change without assuming it is permanent.
At $219 million of annual credit sales, ten additional receivable days correspond to approximately $6 million of extra receivables, calculated as $219 million divided by 365 times ten. This sensitivity assumes a steady sales rate. It helps identify materiality, but it is not a cash forecast for a seasonal business. Use the result to focus questions about payment terms and collection behavior.
Decompose the cash absorbed by Aspen's expansion
Return to Aspen's hypothetical movement from $45 million to $61 million of simplified operating working capital. Receivables increased by $12 million, inventory by $8 million and payables by $4 million. Receivables and inventory together absorbed $20 million, while the payable increase offset $4 million, leaving the $16 million net absorption. Showing these components prevents supplier funding from disappearing inside the total.
As a rough diagnostic, hold each opening balance proportional to the assumed 20% revenue growth. That would imply receivables of $36 million, inventory of $48 million and payables of $30 million, producing $54 million of working capital. The actual ending $61 million is $7 million above this mechanical benchmark. The difference comprises $6 million more receivables and $1 million less payables than the benchmark, with inventory matching it.
This is not a forecast of what balances should have been. Inventory and payables relate more directly to purchasing and cost patterns than to revenue, and pricing or mix can break proportionality. The exercise simply locates the largest deviation under one transparent assumption. It suggests that receivables deserve attention before attributing the entire cash absorption to inventory. In a real analysis, replace the revenue shortcut with better denominators and comparable seasonal data where available. Keep the benchmark visibly separate from reported balances so an explanatory convenience does not become a claim about inefficient management.
Use purchases when the inventory movement makes the proxy weak
Consider a separate hypothetical distributor with opening inventory of $40 million, purchases of $160 million and cost of goods sold of $146 million. Assume no writeoffs, acquisitions, currency movements or other adjustments. Ending inventory is $54 million because $40 million plus $160 million minus $146 million equals $54 million. Purchases exceed cost of sales because inventory has accumulated.
If average trade payables are $24 million, payable days using purchases are approximately 54.8 days: $24 million divided by $160 million, multiplied by 365. Using cost of sales instead produces 60 days. The latter proxy makes supplier payment timing appear about five days longer in this invented setting. Neither calculation should be mixed with Aspen's other examples, which use different assumptions and balances.
A reusable worksheet starts with opening inventory, adds purchases and other movements, subtracts the amount consumed or sold, and reconciles to closing inventory. Use the bridge to decide whether purchases can be inferred reasonably. If material noncash adjustments or manufacturing complexities are missing, do not manufacture a precise purchases figure. Label cost of sales as a proxy and describe the likely limitation. This is more informative than reporting a cash conversion cycle to one decimal place while hiding an uncertain input that can materially change its apparent length and the interpretation of supplier funding.
Distinguish a stock reduction from a cash release
Suppose hypothetical inventory falls from $10 million to $8 million. One explanation is that $2 million of goods are sold and the resulting customer payments are collected. Another is that $2 million of obsolete goods are written down, with no cash received. Both reduce the carrying balance, but only the first assumed sequence produces a customer cash inflow. Even in the first case, the cash amount depends on selling prices and collection timing, not simply the inventory cost removed.
Use an original numerical example: goods carried at $2 million are sold for $2.5 million on credit. Inventory falls immediately under the simplified transaction, while receivables rise by $2.5 million until payment. A lower inventory balance has not yet produced cash. If the customer later pays in full, cash arrives; if payment is delayed, the funding remains tied up in a different operating account.
This distinction helps interpret claims that management released working capital. Ask whether the release appears in cash, whether balances moved between categories, and whether noncash adjustments contributed. A writeoff may reveal an economic loss even though inventory days mechanically improve afterward. Do not treat a declining ratio as proof of better operating efficiency without examining the bridge. A useful worksheet identifies sales, collections, writeoffs and reclassifications separately, then connects the cash relevant movements to the operating cash statement where the disclosures permit reconciliation.
Expand the definition when customer prepayments matter
The article's working definition includes only receivables, inventory and trade payables. Customer prepayments are outside that narrow formula unless specifically captured by an included account. To analyze a prepaid business properly, add an explicit separate line for customer advances or the relevant operating liability, and explain the broader definition. This keeps the business discussion about prepayments consistent with the actual accounts being measured.
Imagine a hypothetical service business with $3 million of receivables, $1 million of inventory, $2 million of trade payables and $8 million of customer advances. Narrow working capital is positive $2 million. Including the advances produces negative $6 million under this expanded analytical definition. The two results are compatible; they answer questions with different boundaries. Neither number should be compared with another company's measure until those boundaries are aligned.
Now assume advances fall by $3 million while the other balances remain unchanged. Expanded working capital rises from negative $6 million to negative $3 million, indicating less customer funding under the simplified assumptions. The narrow measure remains unchanged and misses the development entirely. The remaining advance balance also comes with service obligations; it is not automatically surplus cash. Ask what delivery costs must be funded and whether new prepayments will replace those being earned down. The analytical benefit of negative working capital depends on the commercial cycle continuing under the assumed terms, not on a negative sign being inherently favorable.
Compare growth funding with a steady sales slowdown
In a hypothetical steady operating model, assume receivables equal 20% of annual sales, inventory 25% and trade payables 15%. Simplified operating working capital therefore equals 30% of annual sales. An increase from $100 million to $120 million of sales requires working capital to rise from $30 million to $36 million, absorbing $6 million under the assumption that the ratios and accounting boundaries remain unchanged.
If sales later return to $100 million and all balances adjust proportionately, $6 million would be released. But the word if matters. Customers may pay more slowly, inventory may not shrink promptly, and suppliers may shorten terms. A slowdown can therefore fail to release the cash predicted by a constant ratio model. Show both the mechanical case and a case with sticky inventory or delayed collection rather than assuming contraction always funds itself.
For example, hold inventory at $30 million while receivables fall to $20 million and payables to $15 million. Working capital is then $35 million, releasing only $1 million from the expansion balance of $36 million. These figures are separate from Aspen's reported style examples. They demonstrate the importance of component behavior. A sales forecast alone cannot determine cash needs; the analysis must also state how customers, inventory and suppliers respond to the change in activity and how quickly the assumed balance adjustment actually occurs.
Build a worksheet that respects commercial constraints
Create one line each for receivables, inventory and payables, with opening balance, closing balance, average balance if available, operating driver and major noncash changes. Add a separate line for other operating accounts when the business model requires a broader definition. Specify whether the sales denominator includes only credit sales and whether the payable denominator uses purchases or a labeled proxy.
Then translate a proposed improvement into both cash and operational consequences. In the earlier steady sales example, ten fewer receivable days correspond to approximately $6 million less funding at $219 million annual credit sales. That does not establish that a ten day reduction is achievable. Ask whether it requires discounts, tighter terms or excluding customers, and whether those changes reduce contribution. An apparent cash efficiency target can otherwise conceal a commercial cost.
Choose a follow up based on the component driving the gap. For Aspen, the proportional benchmark points toward receivables, so useful evidence concerns invoicing, terms and subsequent payment. If inventory instead drives the change, inspect composition and selling season before prescribing lower stock. The worksheet should end with the conditions needed for any expected cash release and the evidence that would invalidate them. This produces a funding analysis that can be updated after the next reporting period without treating growth, negative working capital or a shorter cycle as automatically good or bad.
Efficiency has costs and constraints
Reducing inventory can release cash but increase stockouts. Pressuring suppliers for longer terms can improve reported cash generation while damaging commercial relationships or raising purchase prices. Tightening customer credit may reduce receivables while losing profitable sales.
Working-capital management therefore involves tradeoffs, not a race toward the lowest possible number. A sudden cash benefit from delaying supplier payments should not automatically be projected indefinitely. The payment calendar eventually catches up unless the underlying terms or scale change.
For Aspen, the research finding is that operating working capital expanded faster than revenue in the stated example. The next step is to identify which component and commercial mechanism explain the increase. Whether it represents healthy preparation, inefficient operations or credit risk cannot be established from the total alone. A useful analysis connects the cash absorbed to the business activity that required it and the conditions under which it might be released.
Sources and editorial approach
Sources consulted on 2026-09-19. Examples and checklists are Momentu’s editorial frameworks, not validated strategies for generating returns.
General education, not personalised investment advice. Investing involves risk, including loss of capital. Read our editorial standards.